Dodger Thoughts

Jon Weisman's outlet for dealing psychologically with the Los Angeles Dodgers, baseball and life

Month: July 2011 (Page 6 of 6)

The upcoming last gasp

Stephen Dunn/Getty ImagesA beautiful stadium, even in darkening skies.

Can you stop the sun from setting?

Following their two remaining home games with the Mets, the Dodgers bridge the All-Star break with nine games against three division rivals: Friday-Sunday against fourth-place San Diego, July 15-17 at second-place Arizona and July 18-20 at first-place San Francisco. If the Dodgers continue to play losing baseball over that stretch, they should drop far enough back in the National League West race to convince even Dodger general manager Ned Colletti to concede 2011.

If they tread water or make any gains while coming out of the All-Star break against the division’s two leading teams on the road – and believe me, I’m not predicting they will, just offering up the possibility – the Dodgers will follow a July 22-24 series against Washington with three games against Colorado (July 25-27) and three more against Arizona (July 29-31) in the final week, all at home, before the July 31 non-waiver trade deadline.

Not much has gone right for the Dodgers in 2011, and so there’s limited reason to think that will change. However, 15 games inside the division between now and the end of the month provide this last-place team with one more chance to hold off next year – or extend it an early invitation.

No-hit threat met with regret


Gus Ruelas/APRubby De La Rosa allowed three runs on five hits – all after the sixth inning began.

Man, I was on edge tonight – preparing to head out to the local park to see fireworks while Rubby De La Rosa was working on a no-hitter, which he took into the sixth inning while averaging barely 10 pitches per inning. What might I miss?

But in what became a veritable repeat of Sunday’s game, a dominant performance by a Dodger starting pitcher cracked, and the offense wasn’t there to make up the difference, with the Dodgers losing to the Mets, 5-2.

Los Angeles finds itself in a position where it must start to worry about how far it is falling out of fourth place, let alone first. San Diego’s victory over San Francisco kept the Dodgers 11 games out in the National League West but dropped them to two games behind the fourth-place Padres.

* * *

Thanks to a peculiar combination of good starting pitching and bad most everything else, the Dodgers continue to have very few save opportunities.

The time a relief pitcher entered a game with a chance to earn a save was when Blake Hawksworth technically had the opportunity to pitch the final three innings of the Dodgers’ 15-0 victory in Minnesota on June 27. The last Dodger save opportunity that didn’t depend on the three-inning save rule was when Javy Guerra closed out the Dodgers’ 1-0 victory over Houston on June 19, more than two weeks ago.

Jonathan Broxton picked up his seventh save May 2; he hasn’t pitched for the Dodgers since May 3. The Dodgers have eight saves in 56 games since Broxton’s last save. Scott Elbert and Guerra have the Dodgers’ only two saves since May 25, a span of 36 games.

Officially, the Dodgers have been successful on 16 of 21 save opportunities in 86 games this season. Broxton was 7 for 8, Vicente Padilla 3 for 3, Guerra is 2 for 2, and the rest of the staff 4 for 8. For comparison, Broxton had 19 saves by himself before the All-Star break last season, which I suppose isn’t that big a discrepancy from what would have happened this year if he had stayed healthy.

Dodgers add Velez to bench so that Gordon can play every day in minors

A day after sending Casey Blake to the disabled list and activating Rafael Furcal, the Dodgers gave Dee Gordon his ticket back to Albuquerque and purchased the contract of Eugenio Velez, who had a .371 on-base percentage and .463 slugging percentage while playing second base, third base and the outfield for the Isotopes.

The 29-year-old Velez has played 225 games in the majors, all with the Giants, for whom he had a .300 on-base percentage and .388 slugging percentage. He had his exhibition season with the Dodgers cut short this year by an ankle injury.

* * *

James Surowiecki’s Financial Page column for the New Yorker, “Dodger Mania,” turns out not to be about our local baseball team.

‘Through it all, Dodger fans still bleed blue’

From ESPN on Sunday …

Tony Jackson of ESPNLosAngeles.com has more on the state of the Dodgers.

Sunk

Did I already mention how heartbroken I was that Chad Billingsley’s one-hit shutout turned into a complete-game 3-1 defeat? No, I didn’t, because 15 hours later, I’m just now pulling together the wherewithal to do so. That Russell Branyan home run brought on the funk, and not the fun kind of funk.

A public catharsis

The first batch of Dodger stories solicited from the fans by ESPNLosAngeles.com have been published. Check ’em out.

* * *

Saturday at 12 noon, some Dodger fans have scheduled a demonstration to voice displeasure “with Frank McCourt, MLB, and Bud Selig for allowing the collapse of this once proud franchise.” It’s taken me a while to understand the point of this type of protest – fan disgust with the state of Dodger ownership is already an international story, one that has been conveyed through the daily decline in Dodger attendance more effectively than any single-day action could ever hope to do. It’s the silence, not the screaming, that speaks volumes.

However, I do realize that for some fans, staying away from the games (whether by conscious protest or simple apathy) is not exactly a catharsis. On that level, a demonstration makes sense to me, with like-minded people coming together to make their statement clear, even if it’s a statement that otherwise goes without saying.

There might be media coverage of the demonstration, but it will be media coverage that reiterates a story already being told – there’s a baseball crisis in Los Angeles, and fans are anxious to have it resolved. It’s not my place to tell the participants that the media coverage won’t matter, but only speaking for myself, I imagine the most important part of the gathering will be the camaraderie, the shared spirit of Dodger fans who have always cherished their team.

Kemp earns All-Star starting spot, Kershaw also makes team

Never among the leading outfielders in the fan vote until the very end, Matt Kemp’s outstanding 2011 has been rewarded with a starting spot in the 2011 All-Star Game. Clayton Kershaw has also been named to the National League All-Star roster.

Kershaw hexed and vexed in 7-1 defeat

It’s not as if Clayton Kershaw didn’t have a role in the Dodgers’ 7-1 loss to the Angels tonight, but he wasn’t alone.

With the game scoreless in the third inning, Dee Gordon’s decision to throw home after backhanding a grounder with a runner on third and one out backfired, with the runner being safe and the inning extended by the fielder’s choice for Vernon Wells’ two-out,  two-run homer to give the Angels a 3-0 lead.

In the fourth, Kershaw might have been cheated of a double play when Gordon was ruled to have missed a tag at second base. Softly hit singles by Erick Aybar and Bobby Abreu drove in three more runs, making the score 6-0.

And in the sixth, the Angels added an unearned run thanks to Gordon’s second throwing error of the game.

Meanwhile, the Dodgers mustered only four hits and two walks off Jered Weaver, who easily won the rematch of the two staff aces.

On the bright side for Kershaw (who also made his own flub in the first inning by covering first late on a grounder to James Loney), he struck out 10 in six innings, boosting his K/9 average this season to double-figures at 10.12. Pretty incredible.

Hiroki Kuroda’s streaking … but probably not to the All-Star Game

Friday, Hiroki Kuroda took over the Dodger lead in ERA at 2.90, moving ahead of a pitcher most assume will make the National League All-Star team, Clayton Kershaw. In his past six starts, Kuroda has a 1.72 ERA, and opponents are batting .191 against him. So has Kuroda pitched his way into All-Star consideration?

In 2010, there were eight starting pitchers on the NL roster until injured Yovani Gallardo of Milwaukee was replaced by San Diego reliever Heath Bell. In 2009, there were also eight starting pitchers, with Pittsburgh’s Zach Duke replacing San Francisco’s Matt Cain. So top-eight is the neighborhood you want to be in, if not even better.

Here’s where Kershaw and Kuroda currently rank in certain categories that might matter to the various selectors for the NL, which is making its All-Star roster announcement Sunday:

ERA: Kuroda ninth, Kershaw 10th
Strikeouts: Kershaw first, Kuroda 27th
Innings: Kershaw third (tie), Kuroda 16th (tie)
Wins: Kershaw ninth (tie), Kuroda 27th (tie)
WHIP: Kershaw third, Kuroda 20th
Complete games: Kershaw third, Kuroda has none
Shutouts: Kershaw second (tie), Kuroda has none
Quality starts: Kershaw seventh (tie), Kuroda 17th (tie)
Strikeout/walk ratio: Kershaw fourth, Kuroda 25th
Strikeouts per nine innings: Kershaw first, Kuroda 32nd
Fielding-independent ERA: Kershaw third, Kuroda 34th
Wins Above Replacement: Kershaw fourth, Kuroda 36th
Opponents OPS: Kershaw second, Kuroda 29th
Losses: Kuroda first (tie), Kershaw 75th (tie)

As you can see, outside of ERA, Kuroda’s case is very slim. Now, I wouldn’t completely rule out Kuroda sneaking onto a roster at the last minute, the way Hong-Chih Kuo and Rafael Furcal did a year ago, if a need for a substitute player arises. ERA might be the pitching category that has the most importance for All-Star selectors, plus Kuroda seems to be a popular player in baseball and one who might be in his last year pitching Stateside. But, it’s a tough year to pitch your way into the elite.

No doubt, many Dodger fans would be just as happy to see Kuroda get the All-Star break to rest.

* * *

Could the 37-46 Dodgers win nine games in a row? Perhaps they’ll find some odd encouragement in the play of their Triple-A affiliate in Albuquerque, where the once 42-30 Isotopes have lost nine in a row.

Dee Gordon steals second, (third), home and the show


Stephen Dunn/Getty ImagesRoadrunner escapes again.

On a night that featured Tony Gwynn Jr. reaching base six times and Aaron Miles five, and Hiroki Kuroda pitching seven shutout innings, the spotlight was swiped by Dee Gordon, who stole second and home in the seventh inning and should have been credited with a steal of third in the same frame as well, if not for an arcane official scoring decision. Dodgers 5, Angels 0.

With Rafael Furcal due to return to the majors Sunday, Gordon, who also made a fantastic catch in the ninth, might be headed back to Albuquerque, though at this point that looks more like a career detour than a final destination.

Turn that beat around for Kuroda

On the day that Esteban Loaiza is getting his well-deserved place on the Las Vegas Walk of Stars, our thoughts turn to Hiroki Kuroda, who as Eric Stephen of True Blue L.A. notes, could use a little homage.

… Despite pitching relatively well in his five starts (2.12 ERA, 3.65 FIP, and 3.46 xFIP; his best month of the season in all three categories), Kuroda never won. The Dodgers scored a total of seven runs in his five starts, and Kuroda was saddled with an 0-4 record during June.

Kuroda starts tonight for the Dodgers as they open a three-game series in Anaheim against the Angels. With just 2.9 runs per start, Kuroda ranks 67th among 71 qualified pitchers in run support in the National League. He will look to snap a dubious streak tonight, as only two Dodgers since 1919 have had more consecutive starts allowing two earned runs without picking up a win. …

… His adjusted ERA (ERA+) is 111 in his career. There have been 31 pitchers in baseball since the beginning of 2008 to put up a 110 ERA+ or higher in at least 500 innings, and Kuroda is the only won with a losing record. There are 37 starting pitchers with at least 10 FanGraphs WAR during that span, including Kuroda and his 11.1 Wins Above Replacement. Of those 37 pitchers, only Kuroda and Javier Vasquez (41-44) have losing records. …

* * *

Idle thought … I’m wondering what the attendance would be at Dodger Stadium if there were any games during Carmageddon Weekend on July 16-17:

Dodger Thoughts’ Tragic Illness chat

Hey kids! Mike Petriello of Mike Scioscia’s Tragic Illness and I joined forces for this coast-to-coast, blog-to-blog chat on the Dodgers. Enjoy Mike’s nicely groomed beard and my compellingly shifty eyes as we talk about your favorite last-place team!

The first commercial Dodgers broadcast, 70 years ago today

Cynthia Littleton of Variety and Tom Hoffarth of the Daily News have pieces on today’s 70th anniversary of what’s said to be the debut of commercial television – with both noting that a Dodgers-Phillies (Brooklyn loses, 6-4) game was part of the original programming. The Dodgers also played in the first televised baseball game, in 1939.

… Television sets had been available in Gotham department stores such as Macy’s since the 1939 World’s Fair broadcast got early adopters excited about the potential of television. But most of the sets in use in 1941 were set up to receive 441 lines of picture while the FCC had set the commercial telecasting standard at 525. That made for some muddy visuals early on.

Variety was unimpressed by the overall presentation, the hucksterism and production value.

“It was all pretty corney,” Daily Variety reported on July 2, 1941. “Especially a crowd of announcers and radio hangerson eating chocolate layer cake made with Spry and yumyumming. Practically all the sets in the New York area were picking up 525 line images on old sets adjusted to 441 lines. This cut down definition, but it was not engineering definition that was hard to bear. It was the low grade showmanship.”

WNBT and WCBW broadcast about 15 hours a week in those first few months. But the flagship stations for the Peacock (NBC) and the Eye (CBS) didn’t get much time to refine their product before the U.S. entry into WWII put the kibosh on virtually all commercial telecasts. The technology and resources that David Sarnoff and William Paley were plowing into TV were immediately diverted to the war effort.

The growth of TV would be stymied for the better part of the 1940s, until a manic vaudevillian named Milton Berle hit it big with “Texaco Star Theater” in 1948 and TV sets starting flying off the shelves.

* * *

  • Ken Arneson, retired Baseball Toaster chieftain, has a guest piece on Baseball Prospectus today. As I always say, ‘nuf said.
  • Here’s a new baseball cartoon blog: Gary Finkler’s 7th Inning Sketch, complete with requisite Frank McCourt image.
  • The Collected Sins of the Frank & Jamie McCourt era, by Mike Petriello of Mike Scioscia’s Tragic Illness. Unenjoy!

Page 6 of 6

Powered by WordPress & Theme by Anders Norén